Win rate
42.5%
447 W / 604 L
Total PnL
$-2,140
realized $-3,280 · unrealized $1,140
Portfolio
$1,140
volume $802,155
Predictions
956
24.2/day · avg $839
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$218
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$70 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$714 | win |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-680 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
Crypto 56% +$74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn | Mensik | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn | Quinn | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Down | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$245 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Down | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Down | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$127 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
Culture 100% +$69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$63 | win |
Economy 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Georgia Bulldogs | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Politics 50% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinato | Marco Cecchinato | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | +$338 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-303 | loss |
Finance 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli | Federico Bondioli | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
| Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondioli | Sumit Nagal | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-519
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-370 | loss |
Weather 33% $-1,358
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | St. Johns Red Storm | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$5,068 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-5,624 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Temple Owls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Temple Owls | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Temple Owls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes | Louisville Cardinals | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates | St. Johns Red Storm | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates | Seton Hall Pirates | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-766 | loss |
Esports 43% $-2,471
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Team Spirit | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Liquid | 83¢ | 74¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | GamerLegion | 24¢ | 26¢ | +$17 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$1,123 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$86 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-106 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Anyones Legend | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1,195 | loss |
| Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Cloud Dawning | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$452 | win |
| Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-130 | loss |
Other 39% $-4,331
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Jannik Sinner | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-139 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Carlos Alcaraz | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
Sports 44% $-5,065
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will Charlotte Hornets advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$671 | win |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-671 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$1,149 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1,536 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Warriors | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$232 | win |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Clippers | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Orlando Magic advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | Yes | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$217 | $315 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | $67 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Golden State Warriors advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $132 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Charlotte Hornets advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | No | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | $186 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Phoenix Suns advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | $-64 | $196 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Team Spirit | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | $-87 | $942 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Liquid | 82.8¢ | 74¢ | $-97 | $780 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | GamerLegion | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | $-231 | $1,134 | 18/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | GamerLegion | 24.4¢ | 26¢ | +$17 | $92 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Warriors | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$671 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-671 | $1,522 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | +$1,149 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17? | No | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1,536 | $3,334 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 43.1¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $81 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 61.6¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 78.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $25 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | No | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | No | 76.1¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | $109 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Weibo Gaming | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | +$1,123 | $393 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 32.6¢ | 0¢ | +$86 | $246 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | No | 87.4¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $66 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | $58 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13? | Yes | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | $-26 | $77 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | G2 | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | $-106 | $491 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Anyones Legend | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1,195 | $3,273 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $246 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12? | No | 64.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Cloud Dawning | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 12/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | Astralis | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | +$452 | $243 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | +$265 | $82 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 58.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $34 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | No | 64.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $32 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $21 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $31 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11? | No | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $32 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $24 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11? | No | 33.4¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $23 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11? | No | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $24 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $24 | 11/04/2026 |