Taxicab

Geopolitics 35% +$820 $1,243 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-12	loss
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-11	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	+$0	win
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-7	loss
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?	Yes	12¢	100¢	+$925	win

Politics 75% +$244 $543 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?	No	21¢	0¢	+$214	win
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Other 100% +$1 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$1	win

Crypto 33% $-20,089 $106,581 vol · 230 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?	Yes	2¢	11¢	+$704	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?	No	19¢	14¢	$-6	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?	No	3¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-38	loss