Win rate
29.2%
7 W / 17 L
Total PnL
$-786
realized $-1,613 · unrealized $827
Portfolio
$827
volume $73,842
Predictions
33
0.8/day · avg $2,238
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | No | 5¢ | 7¢ | +$12 | win |
Sports 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Geopolitics 22% $-109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 9¢ | $-59 | loss |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | loss |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 10¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 24¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 4¢ | $-43 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 31% $-670
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 16¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 36¢ | 22¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 | win |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 31¢ | 42¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | Yes | 7¢ | 1¢ | $-73 | loss |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Over | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | win |
| Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
Recent Trades (24)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Over | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 08/04/2026 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $153 | 31/03/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 14/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | No | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 31/01/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $61 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 4¢ | $-43 | $150 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 1¢ | $-73 | $197 | 30/06/2026 |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | No | 5.3¢ | 7¢ | +$12 | $53 | 31/08/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 12.4¢ | 9¢ | $-59 | $196 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 19.8¢ | 16¢ | $-45 | $267 | 31/12/2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13.7¢ | 14¢ | $-2 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 22¢ | $-87 | $220 | 31/12/2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 10¢ | $-33 | $70 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 18¢ | +$1 | $34 | 31/12/2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 42¢ | +$17 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 24¢ | $-10 | $33 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $277 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/12/2026 |