Win rate
47.5%
28 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$-109
realized $-1,981 · unrealized $1,872
Portfolio
$1,872
volume $286,290
Predictions
190
0.8/day · avg $1,507
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 63% +$1,341
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$269 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 5¢ | 10¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | No | 10¢ | 45¢ | +$143 | win |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 9¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 7¢ | 19¢ | +$45 | win |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$468 | win |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | loss |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Sports 100% +$213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | win |
Finance 33% $-234
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in 2025? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
Geopolitics 17% $-256
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | $-159 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Other 33% $-534
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 25¢ | 74¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? | Yes | 23¢ | 36¢ | +$188 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 40¢ | 86¢ | +$86 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-321 | loss |
Crypto 58% $-751
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-1,802 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 25¢ | 82¢ | +$810 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$289 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$462 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20? | No | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | +$462 | $209 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $82 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $400 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 30.9¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $107 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $182 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $288 | 01/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $159 | 01/03/2026 |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | +$468 | $790 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31? | No | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $22 | 28/02/2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $239 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28? | No | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $247 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $51 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | $-159 | $1,017 | 31/01/2026 |
| Negative GDP growth in 2025? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $46 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025? | No | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$213 | $486 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025? | No | 61.4¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $93 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in 2025? | No | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? | Yes | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $75 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025? | Yes | 59.3¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $51 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $39 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $47 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025? | Yes | 24.5¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $177 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $314 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 51.6¢ | 100¢ | +$546 | $2,148 | 10/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$292 | $3,321 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $58 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $203 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $282 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $464 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-321 | $545 | 10/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 63.6¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | $1,845 | 10/12/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $387 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20? | No | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $240 | 20/11/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 17.2¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $103 | 20/11/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 56.5¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $100 | 29/10/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $42 | 29/10/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | +$44 | $1,223 | 17/09/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $46 | 17/09/2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $32 | 30/07/2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $20 | 30/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $30 | 18/06/2025 |
| U.S. recession before May 2025? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $24 | 30/04/2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 12¢ | +$19 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 19¢ | +$45 | $29 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? | No | 17.0¢ | 84¢ | +$308 | $113 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 36¢ | +$188 | $111 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 39.8¢ | 86¢ | +$86 | $248 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 24.7¢ | 74¢ | $-5 | $39 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? | No | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.3¢ | 10¢ | $-857 | $1,555 | 01/01/2027 |