Win rate
34.0%
68 W / 132 L
Total PnL
$1,122
realized $-1,194 · unrealized $2,316
Portfolio
$2,316
volume $297,632
Predictions
515
4.9/day · avg $578
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 44% +$1,814
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 54¢ | 64¢ | +$118 | win |
| Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in April? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Trump post "Charlie" or "Kirk" this week on Truth Social? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Trump dance during UFC 327? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Culture 67% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | Phantom | 55¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
Geopolitics 33% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 36¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Tech 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | No | 36¢ | 17¢ | $-20 | loss |
Elections 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 52¢ | 20¢ | $-27 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Mentions 29% $-199
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 14% $-291
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$214 | win |
| Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-442 | loss |
| Sabrina Carpenter holds 3 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | Phantom | 54.7¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | No | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | FURIA | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $140 | 15/04/2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | No | 36.0¢ | 17¢ | $-20 | $72 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 47.6¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $147 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $57 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 35.2¢ | 100¢ | +$214 | $116 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 52.1¢ | 20¢ | $-27 | $83 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump dance during UFC 327? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 25.1¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $29 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $58 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? | Yes | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $29 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | $118 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | +$141 | $251 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 64.3¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $310 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $229 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 12.2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $40 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | $234 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 26.9¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | $202 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 45.5¢ | 100¢ | +$346 | $340 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.3¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $26 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 27.8¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $140 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $29 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $172 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $54 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.1¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $263 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $87 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $92 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $24 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $142 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 56.4¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $156 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 52.1¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $47 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $38 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $42 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $132 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $188 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25? | No | 36.5¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $42 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $231 | 24/03/2026 |