Win rate
74.8%
303 W / 102 L
Total PnL
$-3,992
realized $-5,359 · unrealized $1,367
Portfolio
$1,367
volume $423,490
Predictions
592
8.8/day · avg $715
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 74% +$1,537
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayan Cherki break the Premier League assists record? | No | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Hull City AFC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Connecticut Huskies | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Selena Janicijevic | Selena Janicijevic | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Selena Janicijevic | En-Shuo Liang | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulais | Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landaluce | Sebastian Korda | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
| Yokkaichi: Tung-Lin Wu vs Rio Noguchi | Rio Noguchi | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Elections 67% +$784
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 29¢ | 19¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 24¢ | $-132 | loss |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 35¢ | 83¢ | +$486 | win |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
Sports 78% +$361
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Finance 50% +$314
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Wealthfront IPO in 2025? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Geopolitics 82% +$279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Esports 86% +$149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Team Falcons | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | NIP | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | MOUZ | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner | TYLOO | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | B8 | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | win |
Crypto 64% +$52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 53¢ | 51¢ | $-8 | loss |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Nicaragua | Netherlands | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Cardano ETF in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State Eagles vs. North Carolina Central Eagles | Coppin State Eagles | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
Politics 44% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 37¢ | 27¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$136 | win |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 65¢ | 92¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
Culture 50% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% $-4,854
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? | Yes | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-4,854 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $120 | 16/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Cincinnati Reds | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $900 | 14/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 14/04/2026 |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 66.6¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $83 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $400 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 | Over | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $200 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-14.5) | Washington Nationals | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | Arizona Diamondbacks | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $-239 | $239 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff? | Yes | 35.4¢ | 83¢ | +$486 | $712 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Los Angeles Dodgers | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$222 | $600 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-6.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$131 | $1,100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | Yes | 65.2¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $253 | 12/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 | Over | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $700 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) | Houston Astros | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | Over | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $400 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) | San Diego Padres | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $723 | 12/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Pistons | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,533 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Tampa Bay Rays | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 12/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 | Over | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-7.5) | Miami Marlins | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) | Baltimore Orioles | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record? | Yes | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $53 | 12/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 89.0¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season? | Yes | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-122 | $241 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$133 | $1,200 | 11/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,010 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,033 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-5.5) | New York Mets | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $300 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-4.5) | New York Mets | 99.0¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: Athletics (-3.5) | New York Mets | 93.6¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | $500 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | Under | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $1,775 | 10/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 | Under | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $800 | 10/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 | Under | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | Pittsburgh Pirates | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $397 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 | Under | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 10/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | Under | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $400 | 10/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 | Under | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 10/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $262 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 10/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5 | Under | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $75 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 10/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | Minnesota Twins | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$157 | $2,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Thunder | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $150 | 09/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 | Over | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) | Arizona Diamondbacks | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $999 | 09/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $40 | 09/04/2026 |