Win rate
61.4%
62 W / 39 L
Total PnL
$-1,387
realized $-2,478 · unrealized $1,090
Portfolio
$1,090
volume $67,069
Predictions
340
5.3/day · avg $197
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Esports 75% +$293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B | Xtreme Gaming | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$302 | win |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Falcons | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
Sports 72% +$174
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | 76ers | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | Magic | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Hawks | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Devils vs. Rangers | Devils | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Bruins | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Kings | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Magic vs. Heat | Magic | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Hornets | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Other 68% +$117
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 37¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Baptiste | Sabalenka | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Over | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
Culture 67% +$106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Geopolitics 53% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 38¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 55¢ | 18¢ | +$2 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 41¢ | 8¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 59¢ | 97¢ | +$160 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | No | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$20 | win |
Politics 33% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 59¢ | 48¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25) | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Crypto 57% $-42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1AM ET | Down | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10PM ET | Up | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11PM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
Tech 0% $-114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
Elections 42% $-1,832
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25¢ | 22¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 28¢ | 66¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 29¢ | 8¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-1,559 | loss |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.5¢ | 99¢ | +$36 | $121 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $25 | 04/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | 76ers | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $48 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $25 | 03/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Baptiste | Sabalenka | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $46 | 01/04/2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | $918 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $132 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | No | 44.0¢ | 50¢ | +$20 | $133 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5) | Magic | 59.8¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $40 | 25/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B | Xtreme Gaming | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $26 | 25/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Hawks | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $60 | 25/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 | Over | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $31 | 18/03/2026 |
| Devils vs. Rangers | Devils | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $49 | 18/03/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $130 | 17/03/2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | Under | 59.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $25 | 17/03/2026 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper | Jack Draper | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $70 | 17/03/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Devils | Bruins | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $275 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $46 | 15/03/2026 |
| Kings vs. Clippers | Kings | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $93 | 15/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Heat | Magic | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $53 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $53 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 40.6¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $60 | 14/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $70 | 11/03/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Hornets | 58.6¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $49 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $73 | 11/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Vici Gaming | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$302 | $125 | 10/03/2026 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Under | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$219 | $388 | 10/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Team Falcons | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $189 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | 77.4¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $169 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | Yes | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $125 | 07/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Pistons | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $75 | 04/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 58.6¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $99 | 03/03/2026 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | $-38 | $124 | 03/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers | Clippers | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $144 | 02/03/2026 |
| Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | Sabalenka | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $98 | 14/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Yes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $300 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $89 | 31/01/2026 |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Heat | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $31 | 30/01/2026 |
| Kings vs. 76ers | 76ers | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $52 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $29 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $20 | 25/01/2026 |