Win rate
23.1%
18 W / 60 L
Total PnL
$-2,076
realized $-3,255 · unrealized $1,179
Portfolio
$1,179
volume $179,813
Predictions
93
1.9/day · avg $1,933
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 44% +$54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Purdue Boilermakers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 5% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 40% $-63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 4% $-678
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins | Bruins | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Stars | Stars | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Grizzlies | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Grizzlies | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Maple Leafs vs. Oilers | Oilers | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-207 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $192 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $66 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins | Bruins | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5) | Purdue Boilermakers | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $84 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $65 | 22/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Stars | Stars | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | $94 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,170 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,518 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,983 | 15/03/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Grizzlies | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 09/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $97 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $103 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $83 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04? | No | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 04/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $173 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 11? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 10/02/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Grizzlies | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 06/02/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Oilers | Oilers | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-207 | $207 | 04/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,053 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,712 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,359 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $927 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,205 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,239 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,239 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,344 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,575 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,348 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,064 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,083 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,140 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,216 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,231 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,307 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,424 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,811 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,176 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,084 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,089 | 06/12/2026 |