oPushinPchegou

Politics 55% +$525 $22,936 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	9¢	8¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	89¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Debate" during Wisconsin speech October 1?	No	98¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Georgia speech?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Uniondale rally?	No	51¢	0¢	$-311	loss
Will Donald Trump say "Haitian" during his Michigan town hall?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times at debate?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$379	win
Will Trump say "Marxist" during Lex interview?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$89	win
Trump posts between 25 and 29 times on X?	No	85¢	100¢	+$90	win
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?	No	89¢	100¢	+$17	win

Crypto 100% +$525 $1,485 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	59¢	100¢	+$507	win
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?	No	82¢	100¢	+$18	win

Sports 75% +$302 $723 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	33¢	100¢	+$202	win
Will Brazil unban X before October?	No	40¢	100¢	+$42	win
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$65	win
India vs. Sri Lanka - Cricket T20I	Sri Lanka	30¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Geopolitics 42% $-907 $10,351 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	85¢	84¢	$-1	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	76¢	76¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	73¢	76¢	+$21	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	35¢	32¢	$-15	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	85¢	84¢	$-29	loss
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	No	70¢	0¢	$-1,257	loss
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?	No	95¢	100¢	$-95	loss

Other 61% $-2,909 $13,844 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	51¢	52¢	+$41	win
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	88¢	90¢	+$1	win
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	41¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?	No	86¢	100¢	+$95	win
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$115	win
Pavel Durov released in August?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-36	loss
Pavel Durov released in August?	No	34¢	0¢	$-1,941	loss
X banned in Brazil by Friday?	No	6¢	0¢	$-165	loss
Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?	No	40¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Elections 43% $-3,060 $7,049 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	82¢	100¢	+$109	win
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?	No	86¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?	No	88¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-1,223	loss
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	No	60¢	0¢	$-1,791	loss
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-140	loss