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0x309c96cA3c4977058F35d8e59Ca7548d029809B5-1767013334790
0x309c96ca3c4977058f35d8e59ca7548d029809b5 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
78.9%
1242 W / 332 L
Total PnL
$-36,708
realized $-42,911 · unrealized $6,203
Portfolio
$6,203
volume $1,714,614
Predictions
2,167
27.1/day · avg $791
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 30% +$2,114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 50¢ | $-198 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 50¢ | 12¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 61¢ | 88¢ | $-273 | loss |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | win |
Other 75% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Japan | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-407 | loss |
Crypto 78% $-13,421
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Down | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Down | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Down | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Weather 81% $-15,131
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 18? | No | 79¢ | 77¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-991 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 86¢ | 81¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-331 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | No | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | $-991 | $1,002 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 17? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $807 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on April 17? | No | 93.7¢ | 60¢ | $-135 | $375 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17? | No | 85.7¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $343 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | No | 83.2¢ | 0¢ | $-331 | $333 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on April 17? | No | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $274 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 17? | No | 70.1¢ | 0¢ | $-209 | $210 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 17? | No | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $230 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | Down | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | $152 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17? | No | 74.2¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $177 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | No | 91.0¢ | 74¢ | $-35 | $182 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 17? | No | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $155 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $173 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 78.5¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on April 17? | No | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $131 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $131 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 17? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 17? | No | 30.0¢ | 19¢ | $-11 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 17? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 84¢ | $-6 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 63.0¢ | 76¢ | +$13 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 17? | No | 85.7¢ | 81¢ | $-5 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 17? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Down | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Up | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Down | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $89 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $79 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 16? | No | 77.1¢ | 0¢ | $-384 | $385 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 16? | No | 44.7¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | $134 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 16? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $259 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 16? | No | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $97 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 16? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 16? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |