Win rate
62.0%
925 W / 567 L
Total PnL
$-5,234
realized $-6,161 · unrealized $927
Portfolio
$927
volume $922,722
Predictions
1,540
7.9/day · avg $599
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Politics 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | Yes | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Weather 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles | St. Johns Red Storm | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Mentions 67% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Finance 58% $-130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26? | Down | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4? | Down | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22? | Down | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? | Down | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? | Up | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-138 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12? | Down | 75¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12? | Up | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2? | Down | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 29? | Down | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 24? | Up | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 33% $-259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026) | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | loss |
Crypto 42% $-628
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delray Beach Open: Ethan Quinn vs Rafael Jodar | Jodar | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$20 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Down | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Down | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Down | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Sports 63% $-1,464
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alexandra Eala vs Leylah Fernandez | Leylah Fernandez | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | San Diego Padres | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | win |
| Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | Over | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Spread: Pistons (-22.5) | Pistons | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Spread: Nuggets (-16.5) | Nuggets | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-377 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Heat | 76ers | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-265 | loss |
Other 62% $-5,800
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Team Secret Whales | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 55¢ | 66¢ | +$76 | win |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | loss |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 81¢ | 80¢ | $-3 | loss |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Deep Cross Gaming | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | loss |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | loss |
Esports 63% $-7,527
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 1 Winner | Rex Regum Qeon | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | loss |
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner | MVK Esports | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | loss |
| Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner | Eternal Fire | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$282 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner | GIANTX | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Team Secret Whales | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $450 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 55.0¢ | 66¢ | +$76 | $369 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | HANJIN BRION | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $-306 | $307 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 81.0¢ | 80¢ | $-3 | $489 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 57.6¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | $318 | 19/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 1 Winner | Rex Regum Qeon | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-197 | $200 | 19/04/2026 |
| LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner | MVK Esports | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | $305 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $326 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Deep Cross Gaming | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | $336 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Weibo Gaming | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $350 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | Disguised | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | $330 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$150 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $680 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | San Diego Padres | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $294 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | $408 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | Over | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $347 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $606 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | Dplus KIA Challengers | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $326 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Team Liquid | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $284 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $92 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 65.5¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | $223 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-252 | $252 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Galions | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-285 | $285 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION Challengers | 66.5¢ | 0¢ | $-312 | $312 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | $336 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | $357 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 44.7¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | $670 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner | Eternal Fire | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $454 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$282 | $260 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 20.0¢ | 100¢ | +$227 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$151 | $608 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | BBL Esports | 83.4¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $395 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | KT Rolster | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $189 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $430 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner | GIANTX | 62.9¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $280 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $370 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $344 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | T1 Academy | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $253 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-206 | $206 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 45.9¢ | 0¢ | $-230 | $230 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BNK FearX Youth | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-285 | $285 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Sentinels | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner | Liquid | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $46 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Fnatic | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner | Cloud9 | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $57 | 12/04/2026 |