Win rate
86.4%
51 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$7,325
realized $-8,147 · unrealized $15,472
Portfolio
$15,472
volume $100,526
Predictions
80
2.0/day · avg $1,257
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$3,158
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
Other 90% +$1,351
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$427 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April? | No | 33¢ | 95¢ | +$178 | win |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in April? | No | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April? | No | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$103 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65¢ | 49¢ | $-223 | loss |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$31 | win |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | win |
Crypto 90% +$846
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 69¢ | 98¢ | +$132 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | No | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-937 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Geopolitics 83% +$485
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | No | 41¢ | 38¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$97 | win |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | No | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | No | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$50 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
Elections 100% +$79
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
Politics 50% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Mentions 33% $-63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 72¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-182 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | +$122 | $650 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 98¢ | +$50 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026? | No | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $2,146 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$675 | $2,700 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | +$450 | $2,789 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | No | 77.7¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $400 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March? | No | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $200 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 75.8¢ | 0¢ | $-937 | $2,451 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | No | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$240 | $705 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 81.5¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | $700 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | No | 64.6¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | No | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $102 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 79.6¢ | 100¢ | $-454 | $632 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | No | 80.0¢ | 80¢ | +$4 | $628 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | No | 51.1¢ | 50¢ | $-3 | $300 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $1,980 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 76.6¢ | 0¢ | $-182 | $200 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 98¢ | +$59 | $430 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 85.4¢ | 94¢ | +$55 | $550 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 78.1¢ | 72¢ | $-23 | $300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 84.8¢ | 99¢ | +$50 | $300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 65.1¢ | 49¢ | $-223 | $900 | 30/04/2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | No | 64.2¢ | 93¢ | +$178 | $400 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 80.8¢ | 96¢ | +$97 | $500 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026? | Yes | 83.1¢ | 86¢ | +$13 | $450 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | No | 82.0¢ | 96¢ | +$66 | $400 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026? | No | 81.3¢ | 91¢ | +$36 | $300 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 81.4¢ | 98¢ | +$62 | $300 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | No | 85.0¢ | 95¢ | +$31 | $255 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | No | 83.0¢ | 94¢ | +$23 | $185 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 87¢ | +$5 | $69 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | No | 85.3¢ | 99¢ | +$103 | $675 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 84.0¢ | 97¢ | +$46 | $300 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | No | 40.8¢ | 38¢ | $-7 | $162 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 88.3¢ | 90¢ | +$122 | $4,897 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April? | No | 74.6¢ | 99¢ | +$265 | $822 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? | No | 84.0¢ | 98¢ | +$172 | $1,000 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | No | 84.9¢ | 89¢ | +$37 | $700 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 69.2¢ | 98¢ | +$132 | $321 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April? | No | 33.1¢ | 95¢ | +$178 | $100 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in April? | No | 57.5¢ | 64¢ | +$12 | $115 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April? | No | 84.0¢ | 92¢ | +$6 | $66 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $1,500 | 07/06/2026 |
| Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 62.6¢ | 100¢ | +$707 | $1,182 | 01/07/2026 |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$619 | $279 | 01/07/2026 |