Arlette

Other 85% +$18,584 $691,502 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$301	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	88¢	82¢	$-345	loss
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	93¢	76¢	$-16	loss
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 24 be between 2,300,000 and 2,500,000?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
US strike on Colombia by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$160	win
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$24	win
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$115	win

Geopolitics 86% +$4,561 $424,327 vol · 98 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	89¢	91¢	+$230	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	93¢	92¢	$-10	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	34¢	24¢	$-42	loss
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	95¢	98¢	+$11	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	90¢	94¢	$-90	loss

Politics 85% +$3,243 $143,772 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-91	loss
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-54	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	$-23	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	89¢	94¢	+$120	win
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	96¢	98¢	+$16	win
Will John Carter be the Republican nominee for TX-31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Congress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$47	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$113	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$86	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$66	win

Crypto 89% +$2,289 $48,217 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	47¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	46¢	0¢	$-218	loss
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$187	win
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$163	win
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win

Weather 82% +$28 $9,945 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-2	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?	No	97¢	96¢	$-6	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 16?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on April 10?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on April 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on January 8?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?	No	98¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or below on September 3?	No	100¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 72°F or higher on September 3?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win

Finance 80% +$20 $2,294 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$9	win

Tech 83% +$12 $2,273 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	72¢	100¢	$-46	loss
Will Greta Thunberg rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$5	win
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Esports 67% $-75 $372 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Misa Esports	83¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 60% $-231 $3,884 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-356	loss

Sports 33% $-238 $2,053 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Oscar Piastri finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-242 $242 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-242	loss

Mentions 80% $-732 $1,530 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?	No	67¢	0¢	$-742	loss

Elections 67% $-6,491 $152,181 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-258	loss
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	27¢	10¢	$-372	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	79¢	75¢	$-4,269	loss
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$293	win
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?	No	98¢	100¢	+$389	win
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$149	win