Pilagi

Elections 42% +$147 $1,264 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	80¢	80¢	$-0	loss
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	69¢	67¢	$-1	loss
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	97¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	77¢	75¢	$-3	loss
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	91¢	$-3	loss
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	Yes	81¢	87¢	+$10	win
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	86¢	84¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$78 $295 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	48¢	70¢	+$22	win
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	80¢	90¢	+$8	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	75¢	100¢	+$8	win

Culture 100% +$40 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$40	win

Other 100% +$37 $62 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	36¢	64¢	+$22	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	65¢	99¢	+$15	win