286mgfr

Economy 12% +$2,663 $3,921 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	89¢	92¢	$-6	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	99¢	$-169	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$4,493	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-135	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1,422	loss

Elections 15% +$987 $30,672 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	98¢	99¢	$-2,860	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11¢	11¢	+$2,950	win
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	$-6	loss
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	62¢	59¢	+$622	win
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	98¢	96¢	$-431	loss
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	40¢	41¢	+$127	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	95¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	88¢	90¢	$-22	loss
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	99¢	98¢	$-125	loss

Culture 36% +$577 $4,761 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	No	90¢	97¢	$-55	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	No	4¢	0¢	+$397	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-402	loss
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-34	loss
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	No	99¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$203	win
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$753	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	48¢	0¢	$-207	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	22¢	0¢	+$93	win

Crypto 67% +$117 $458 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	49¢	49¢	+$0	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	51¢	51¢	$-0	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$121	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6PM ET	Down	64¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6PM ET	Up	41¢	0¢	$-9	loss

Sports 50% $-0 $53 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	78¢	80¢	$-0	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 0% $-116 $565 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	69¢	72¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-30	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on March 22?	No	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 20?	No	100¢	100¢	$-21	loss

Finance 0% $-124 $254 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	95¢	97¢	$-14	loss
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	$-110	loss

Tech 25% $-2,064 $7,786 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-110	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	96¢	97¢	$-73	loss
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?	No	25¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?	Yes	46¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	$-507	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-243	loss
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-90	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	100¢	100¢	$-43	loss
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-445	loss

Mentions 29% $-4,980 $48,946 vol · 102 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-51	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	27¢	100¢	+$93	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-186	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$28	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-97	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$353	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-238	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$1,196	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-141	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$70	win

Other 27% $-10,902 $134,846 vol · 154 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-122	loss
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	$-235	loss
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	30¢	43¢	+$15	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	40¢	35¢	+$2	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	48¢	44¢	+$0	win
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	71¢	74¢	+$0	—
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	84¢	84¢	$-12	loss
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	94¢	96¢	$-26	loss
Will the US strike Yemen next?	No	99¢	100¢	$-44	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	$-37	loss

Politics 20% $-12,278 $95,900 vol · 76 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-497	loss
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-117	loss
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21¢	21¢	+$155	win
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$1,015	win
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	$-137	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	+$98	win
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	88¢	100¢	$-17	loss
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	35¢	23¢	+$39	win
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	96¢	99¢	$-271	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-2,580	loss

Geopolitics 31% $-25,163 $619,657 vol · 221 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	58¢	100¢	$-406	loss
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	100¢	100¢	$-248	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	2¢	0¢	+$1,326	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-158	loss
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	97¢	100¢	$-155	loss
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	$-14	loss
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	67¢	81¢	$-7	loss
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	83¢	88¢	$-9	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	2¢	0¢	$-358	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-2,270	loss