Win rate
86.1%
553 W / 89 L
Total PnL
$18,172
realized $-6,375 · unrealized $24,547
Portfolio
$24,547
volume $1,758,028
Predictions
605
3.9/day · avg $2,906
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 85% +$10,019
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kyler Murray play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Li | Kamilla Rakhimova | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-513 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka | Stan Wawrinka | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$1,574 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka | Cameron Norrie | 74¢ | 100¢ | $-842 | loss |
| Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Noskova | Noskova | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-1,480 | loss |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$2,655 | win |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | win |
Esports 83% +$8,221
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | FlyQuest | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$785 | win |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-1,116 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | win |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BetBoom Team | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | win |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | G2 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-414 | loss |
Politics 100% +$2,120
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$232 | win |
Geopolitics 94% +$880
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$205 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Tech 91% +$815
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 29 above $285? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of November? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $520 end of November? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of November? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of November? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of November? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Crypto 100% +$659
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$518 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $5,000 on October 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $5,000 on October 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,800 and $4,900 on October 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Culture 100% +$278
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Economy 100% +$91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Elections 100% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 50¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Finance 60% $-77
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $590 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9? | Up | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 11? | Down | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Sports 87% $-4,681
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 21¢ | 1¢ | +$171 | win |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-4,429 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskova | Linda Noskova | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$631 | win |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs | HMBLE | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28? | No | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | T1 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-1,800 | loss |
| LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | Gen.G | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$134 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-88 | $15,473 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,183 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $590 Week of April 13 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $917 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | No | 55.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2,655 | $3,296 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | FlyQuest | 55.5¢ | 100¢ | +$785 | $978 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Spirit | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$413 | $3,720 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | Vivo Keyd Stars | 43.7¢ | 100¢ | +$413 | $524 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $3,600 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Red Force | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$352 | $3,871 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster | 83.6¢ | 100¢ | +$303 | $1,547 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | LYON | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$275 | $1,308 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner | LOUD | 91.8¢ | 100¢ | +$273 | $3,042 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 86.9¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | $1,676 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | Shopify Rebellion | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$225 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner | Nongshim Red Force | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $780 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | MOUZ | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $1,186 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner | Fluxo W7M | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $1,305 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | ThunderTalk Gaming | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $2,335 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | Spirit | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $352 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Natus Vincere | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | Vivo Keyd Stars | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $246 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner | LOS | 64.2¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $69 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | LYON | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | $-94 | $2,799 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | LOS | 90.0¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | $475 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | Team Liquid | 67.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,116 | $1,116 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | No | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $-8,016 | $8,126 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | $2,847 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Dplus KIA Challengers | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$334 | $1,750 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$290 | $2,920 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BetBoom Team | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | $3,084 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Oh My God | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$214 | $4,061 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$184 | $1,860 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | BNK FearX Youth | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $483 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner | T1 Academy | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $440 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $8,820 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | T1 Academy | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $121 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | G2 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-414 | $414 | 14/04/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | Team Nemesis | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $747 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner | GIANTX | 74.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5,305 | $15,327 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner | GIANTX | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,332 | $2,268 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Cloud9 | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,190 | $3,257 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$700 | $6,800 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner | Cloud9 | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $6,124 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | KT Rolster Challengers | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $2,411 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | FlyQuest | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $247 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner | HANJIN BRION Challengers | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $3,250 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Fnatic | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-6,430 | $6,491 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Team Vitality | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,144 | $19,800 | 12/04/2026 |