Ashurnasirpal

Mentions 24% +$3,990 $290,416 vol · 484 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-499	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$250	win
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 60% +$122 $9,535 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	12¢	9¢	$-6	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	78¢	0¢	$-73	loss

Other 67% +$17 $471 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	67¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?	No	74¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?	No	81¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?	No	82¢	100¢	+$4	win
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?	Yes	85¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Weather 67% +$13 $137 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 46-47°F on February 2?	No	81¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on January 26?	No	96¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on January 22?	No	76¢	100¢	+$6	win

Culture 100% +$12 $37 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$12	win

Finance 0% $-8 $345 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?	Down	99¢	100¢	$-8	loss

Politics 33% $-56 $13,981 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	28¢	+$0	—
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	33¢	99¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	No	8¢	0¢	$-67	loss

Crypto 86% $-82 $460 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?	Down	71¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 6?	Down	88¢	100¢	+$6	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?	Down	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?	Down	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5?	Up	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on December 25?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win