Win rate
93.5%
1830 W / 128 L
Total PnL
$4,558
realized $-404 · unrealized $4,962
Portfolio
$4,962
volume $673,305
Predictions
2,409
26.8/day · avg $280
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 93% +$3,009
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 19? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 19? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 19? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 19? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19? | No | 85¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$396
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Finance 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $177 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 17? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $132 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $109 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $117 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $153 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on April 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $107 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $66 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $222 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 17? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $170 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $147 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $148 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $137 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $129 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $122 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 17? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 17? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $71 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 92.6¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $113 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 90.0¢ | 97¢ | +$3 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 95.0¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 17? | No | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $173 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 16? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $83 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $144 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $61 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 16? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on April 16? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $98 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $83 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 16? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $160 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 15? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 15? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 15? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $78 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on April 15? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 15? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $129 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $95 | 15/04/2026 |