Miguel262144

Other 64% +$593 $5,532 vol · 110 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	61¢	66¢	$-22	loss
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	74¢	100¢	+$6	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	53¢	56¢	+$4	win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	57¢	20¢	$-7	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	62¢	36¢	$-12	loss
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	49¢	36¢	$-16	loss
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	64¢	82¢	+$14	win
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	67¢	94¢	+$13	win
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	71¢	93¢	+$8	win
Prince Andrew released by February 21?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$7	win

Politics 62% +$501 $6,260 vol · 98 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	54¢	39¢	$-32	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	65¢	84¢	+$4	win
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	76¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?	Yes	13¢	23¢	+$201	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?	No	58¢	99¢	+$27	win
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	No	61¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$14	win

Tech 60% +$320 $1,768 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	60¢	22¢	$-13	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	39¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	51¢	100¢	+$519	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	73¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?	No	80¢	100¢	+$8	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Elections 52% +$288 $10,406 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	24¢	19¢	$-11	loss
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	48¢	60¢	+$6	win
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41¢	39¢	+$0	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	53¢	66¢	+$22	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	36¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	73¢	82¢	$-5	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	64¢	18¢	$-50	loss
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?	No	65¢	100¢	+$19	win

Sports 67% +$220 $2,688 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kings vs. Canucks	Kings	56¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Avalanche vs. Oilers	Avalanche	54¢	100¢	+$37	win
Hurricanes vs. Islanders	Hurricanes	53¢	100¢	+$18	win
Jets vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	63¢	100¢	+$11	win
Sabres vs. Blackhawks	Sabres	67¢	100¢	+$7	win
Wild vs. Blues	Wild	61¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	65¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Stars vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	78¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Rockets vs. Bulls	Bulls	57¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	73¢	100¢	+$4	win

Geopolitics 66% +$155 $11,804 vol · 128 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$144	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	52¢	70¢	+$95	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	57¢	84¢	+$74	win
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	50¢	86¢	+$20	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	No	73¢	100¢	+$5	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	29¢	30¢	+$0	—
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	45¢	78¢	$-1	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	42¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Crypto 100% +$35 $94 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?	No	71¢	100¢	+$27	win

Finance 100% +$21 $40 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	64¢	99¢	+$21	win