Win rate
95.3%
675 W / 33 L
Total PnL
$-3,922
realized $-52,298 · unrealized $48,376
Portfolio
$48,376
volume $2,090,078
Predictions
713
5.8/day · avg $2,931
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/12/2021 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 98% +$13,031
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 76¢ | +$79 | win |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | Gold | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 94¢ | 85¢ | $-974 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 86% +$434
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | win |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Tech 100% +$33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | No | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$33 | win |
Sports 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 0% $-237
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Hong Kong Election: Geographical Constituency Seat Turnover >40%? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-212 | loss |
Finance 33% $-586
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-424 | loss |
Geopolitics 80% $-8,465
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$47 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-9,085 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 91% $-9,064
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$138 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $-502 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | Yes | 93¢ | 26¢ | $-853 | loss |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 94.0¢ | 85¢ | $-974 | $10,711 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $3,996 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $3,778 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,196 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,105 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,473 | 16/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 16? | Up | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,243 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $3,922 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,598 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $2,959 | 15/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $4,269 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $4,110 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,995 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,398 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $9,001 | 14/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 14? | Up | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $2,101 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $4,594 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $3,996 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$544 | $10,878 | 13/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $2,443 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,417 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 13? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,334 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $118 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $2,884 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 12? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $2,234 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $6,993 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 11? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $2,194 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $896 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $699 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $899 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $2,096 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $7,787 | 10/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 10? | Up | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $822 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 10? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,196 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,538 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 10? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $798 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $293 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 9? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $290 | 10/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 9? | Down | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $475 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,497 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $14,130 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $4,883 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $2,991 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 8? | Up | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,314 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7? | Yes | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$417 | $5,960 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 7? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $6,463 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $2,221 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $174 | 07/04/2026 |