Win rate
84.2%
16 W / 3 L
Total PnL
$2,673
realized $-4,414 · unrealized $7,088
Portfolio
$7,088
volume $24,646
Predictions
21
1.2/day · avg $1,174
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 75% +$2,225
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 44¢ | 17¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 58¢ | 83¢ | +$300 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 60¢ | 81¢ | +$215 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 76¢ | +$900 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$754 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$9 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 8¢ | $-164 | loss |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 62¢ | 9¢ | $-135 | loss |
Finance 100% +$486
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Economy 100% +$48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? | No | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$48 | win |
Politics 100% +$41
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$10 | win |
Recent Trades (19)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$179 | $600 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 62.5¢ | 9¢ | $-135 | $294 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 40.0¢ | 8¢ | $-164 | $320 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 74.3¢ | 77¢ | +$34 | $939 | 30/04/2026 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? | No | 76.9¢ | 85¢ | +$48 | $457 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 77¢ | +$9 | $222 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | +$754 | $850 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $86 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 42.9¢ | 76¢ | +$900 | $1,159 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 98¢ | +$297 | $767 | 30/06/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 81¢ | +$215 | $600 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 38.0¢ | 81¢ | +$169 | $149 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $137 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 13.4¢ | 16¢ | +$30 | $195 | 31/12/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | 58.2¢ | 83¢ | +$300 | $704 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 14¢ | +$10 | $89 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 44.6¢ | 46¢ | +$4 | $84 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $146 | 31/12/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 44.0¢ | 17¢ | $-7 | $161 | 31/12/2026 |