Win rate
80.4%
1500 W / 365 L
Total PnL
$-97,644
realized $-109,575 · unrealized $11,931
Portfolio
$11,931
volume $7,622,839
Predictions
2,090
19.0/day · avg $3,647
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 82% +$6,007
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Senators | Wild | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5) | Córdoba CF | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) | Penguins | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Senators vs. Rangers | Senators | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5) | 1. FC Köln | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5 | Over | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Weather 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1) | Hobart Hurricanes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 35-36°F on December 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 67% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) | T1 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) | Hanwha Life Esports | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Politics 76% $-264
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 21¢ | 8¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$277 | win |
Economy 50% $-483
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Utah Utes | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Utah Utes | Utah Utes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-517 | loss |
Sports 79% $-1,154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ducks (-2.5) | Canucks | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Flames | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | Sabres | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Spread: Kraken (-1.5) | Jets | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5 | Over | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Flames | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Blackhawks vs. Kraken | Blackhawks | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Golden Knights vs. Oilers | Golden Knights | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) | Sharks | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Blues | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Finance 0% $-4,463
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-3,484 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26? | Up | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-980 | loss |
Tech 50% $-18,827
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-10,000 | loss |
Other 83% $-20,640
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-585 | loss |
| Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-2,785 | loss |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 18¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-1,091 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | +$1 | win |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 | Over | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
Mentions 80% $-57,219
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 20¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $1,076 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $490 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | $-125 | $231 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $2,798 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$11 | $1,995 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 70.5¢ | 56¢ | $-601 | $1,513 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 98¢ | +$25 | $1,000 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 87.8¢ | 46¢ | $-818 | $1,599 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 20¢ | $-42 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 | Over | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 | Over | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5 | Over | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5 | Over | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5 | Over | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) | Nottingham Forest FC | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5 | Over | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5) | Aston Villa FC | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) | Real Betis Balompié | 99.8¢ | 0¢ | $-600 | $600 | 16/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 | Over | 88.3¢ | 0¢ | $-148 | $550 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $484 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | Liverpool FC | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $218 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $500 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Canucks | 85.1¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Flames | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Levante UD (-1.5) | Getafe CF | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Ducks (-2.5) | Canucks | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5) | Manchester City FC | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Genoa CFC (-2.5) | US Sassuolo Calcio | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: US Lecce (-1.5) | Bologna FC 1909 | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5) | OGC Nice | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $140 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) | Sunderland AFC | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $474 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) | Nottingham Forest FC | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) | Brentford FC | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 11/04/2026 |
| Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5) | 1. FC Union Berlin | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 100¢ | +$209 | $82 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | +$84 | $33 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $450 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$39 | $65 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $112 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $29 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $59 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | $120 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Paris FC (-1.5) | AS Monaco FC | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $410 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) | FC Barcelona | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,000 | 08/04/2026 |