RV113

Elections 74% +$1,525 $5,810 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	52¢	55¢	+$0	—
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	No	90¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	58¢	10¢	$-19	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	86¢	18¢	+$1	win
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$199	win
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-140	loss
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-143	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$1,406	win

Politics 64% +$286 $3,883 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	79¢	80¢	$-8	loss
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-133	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	57¢	100¢	+$177	win
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$188	win
Will Biden finish his term?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Biden pardon Fauci?	No	83¢	0¢	$-332	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	No	86¢	100¢	+$45	win
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	No	29¢	100¢	+$106	win
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Crypto 71% +$156 $3,773 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	48¢	50¢	+$7	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48¢	38¢	+$0	—
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	56¢	42¢	$-57	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	52¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	85¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?	No	54¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?	No	90¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	83¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	84¢	100¢	+$52	win

Sports 45% $-133 $2,423 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox	Detroit Tigers	58¢	99¢	+$282	win
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	57¢	56¢	$-0	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova	Elina Svitolina	65¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	Seattle Mariners	52¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Kraken vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	68¢	100¢	+$163	win
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	65¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Magic vs. 76ers	76ers	53¢	100¢	+$106	win
Hawks vs. Heat	Heat	73¢	100¢	+$6	win
Hawks vs. Heat	Hawks	50¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	84¢	100¢	+$19	win

Other 59% $-802 $8,819 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	77¢	72¢	$-1	loss
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	72¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	38¢	43¢	+$3	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	73¢	82¢	+$10	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	39¢	64¢	+$30	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	74¢	72¢	+$0	win
Will Man Utd be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	14¢	40¢	+$52	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	73¢	76¢	$-141	loss

Geopolitics 40% $-1,110 $4,083 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	34¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	29¢	30¢	$-4	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	84¢	92¢	+$21	win
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	74¢	78¢	+$4	win
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	64¢	100¢	$-9	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	83¢	78¢	$-8	loss
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	73¢	88¢	$-57	loss
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	39¢	5¢	$-64	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	88¢	62¢	$-34	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	41¢	0¢	$-100	loss