username-is-not-taken

Finance 44% +$20 $3,984 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	16¢	5¢	+$165	win
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	97¢	95¢	$-227	loss

Politics 95% +$6 $7,003 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	69¢	69¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	96¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win

Mentions 91% $-29 $45,203 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	-0¢	2¢	+$373	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-398	loss
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-55 $1,281 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	76¢	75¢	$-18	loss

Sports 12% $-125 $9,124 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title?	No	96¢	95¢	$-23	loss
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	93¢	94¢	$-205	loss
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	89¢	87¢	$-31	loss
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	97¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	98¢	99¢	$-49	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-127 $3,855 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	100¢	99¢	$-42	loss
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	95¢	95¢	$-0	loss

Elections 6% $-718 $10,645 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	88¢	88¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	53¢	52¢	$-5	loss
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-59	loss
Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	100¢	100¢	$-32	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	76¢	78¢	$-144	loss
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	90¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	15¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	87¢	82¢	$-0	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?	No	84¢	96¢	+$0	—

Tech 21% $-789 $13,316 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	88¢	88¢	$-37	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$448	win
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-732	loss
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-351	loss
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-19	loss

Other 31% $-1,876 $23,637 vol · 90 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	100¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	52¢	48¢	$-3	loss
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	5¢	94¢	+$369	win
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-350	loss
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	84¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	$-27	loss
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-244	loss