Win rate
25.5%
26 W / 76 L
Total PnL
$-3,549
realized $-7,302 · unrealized $3,753
Portfolio
$3,753
volume $1,075,449
Predictions
108
1.1/day · avg $9,958
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 29% +$3,510
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$565 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | $-138 | loss |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-2,262 | loss |
| X Money released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 46¢ | $-5 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-545 | loss |
| Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
Crypto 67% +$449
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | Up | 13¢ | 100¢ | +$614 | win |
Esports 100% +$214
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$214 | win |
Politics 20% +$127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 38¢ | 52¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Democrat shutdown" in December? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
Culture 0% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 17% $-293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 18¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 49¢ | $-38 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 44¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
Economy 0% $-499
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
Sports 33% $-2,610
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-256 | loss |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$22 | win |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | loss |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-331 | loss |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5) | Timberwolves | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims) | Duncan | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Pistons | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Tech 7% $-3,758
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-1,491 | loss |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | T1 | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | FURIA | 31.9¢ | 100¢ | +$214 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 13.6¢ | 0¢ | +$492 | $663 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 91¢ | $-14 | $144 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 25.2¢ | 100¢ | $-110 | $823 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | $505 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $398 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $489 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $600 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-545 | $568 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | $185 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13? | No | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $110 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 13/03/2026 |
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | +$569 | $862 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $207 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-162 | $350 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $-395 | $395 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | $-927 | $942 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 26.2¢ | 0¢ | $-977 | $977 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 36.8¢ | 0¢ | $-1,491 | $1,491 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $45 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $111 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $110 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | No | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-432 | $432 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $436 | 28/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | 47.9¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $1,601 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $179 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $-227 | $649 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? | No | 34.5¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | $773 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | Yes | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | $794 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? | No | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $401 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $204 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump say "Democrat shutdown" in December? | No | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 77.5¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | $515 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $661 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 27.9¢ | 0¢ | $-170 | $631 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-380 | $380 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | 28.2¢ | 0¢ | $-554 | $1,158 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | $167 | 25/12/2025 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $175 | 25/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | $100 | 23/12/2025 |
| Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor | Tate | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-280 | $288 | 20/12/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19? | Up | 12.6¢ | 100¢ | +$614 | $253 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $100 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | No | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $165 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-331 | $446 | 19/12/2025 |