Win rate
44.1%
15 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-35
realized $-1,034 · unrealized $999
Portfolio
$999
volume $206,778
Predictions
61
2.7/day · avg $3,390
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 33% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78¢ | 75¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 25¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-9 | loss |
Other 44% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $854 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $667 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,490 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $682 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $733 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $676 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $1,418 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $72 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,362 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $924 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $921 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $931 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $72 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $1,934 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $42 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $677 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $675 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.6¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $921 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $2,092 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,016 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 97.3¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $1,014 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $738 | 10/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $749 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $682 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 77.5¢ | 75¢ | +$0 | $745 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $61 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 25¢ | +$0 | $166 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 3.5¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | $38 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 97¢ | $-9 | $921 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | $22 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,013 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.1¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $1,014 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | $374 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.9¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $351 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93.2¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $921 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.1¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $924 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96.7¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $922 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 9¢ | $-0 | $90 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89.0¢ | 89¢ | $-1 | $908 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $923 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 5.5¢ | 5¢ | $-2 | $56 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $923 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $477 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $27 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 94.9¢ | 94¢ | $-5 | $1,823 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $999 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $997 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | $132 | 19/12/2026 |