stormshadow

Culture 81% +$5,889 $199,217 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	87¢	72¢	$-59	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$32	win
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$86	win
Will "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?	No	99¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$12	win

Other 85% +$5,205 $146,263 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?	Avengers: Doomsday	92¢	94¢	+$9	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-213	loss
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$416	win
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$126	win
WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?	No	86¢	100¢	+$176	win
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?	No	86¢	100¢	$-561	loss
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross less than $67m on opening weekend?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win

Crypto 97% +$2,462 $169,161 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-12	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$95	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 10-16?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$40	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	No	99¢	100¢	+$33	win
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$218	win
Tether insolvent in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$128	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$9	win
Ethereum all time high by June 30?	No	98¢	100¢	+$161	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	50¢	100¢	+$28	win

Economy 73% +$2,319 $170,562 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	90¢	93¢	$-27	loss
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
US recession in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1,035	win
Negative GDP growth in 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	No	99¢	0¢	$-1,909	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$826	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$605	win
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$576	win

Elections 67% +$1,018 $23,986 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	98¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?	No	99¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$715	win
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	No	97¢	100¢	+$184	win
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$92	win

Politics 100% +$622 $20,628 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?	No	97¢	100¢	+$581	win
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$13	win
Biden drops out by July 12?	No	89¢	100¢	+$28	win

Sports 93% +$243 $21,955 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-154	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?	No	97¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?	No	98¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% or more in March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$179	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$7	win

Geopolitics 100% +$7 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran military response by Monday?	Yes	74¢	0¢	+$7	win

Weather 100% +$5 $500 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will May 2024 show an increase between 1.03°C-1.09°C	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win