Win rate
46.2%
79 W / 92 L
Total PnL
$-4,829
realized $-9,149 · unrealized $4,320
Portfolio
$4,320
volume $232,211
Predictions
124
3.8/day · avg $1,873
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 62% +$348
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | Yes | 46¢ | 48¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | Yes | 57¢ | 48¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | Yes | 49¢ | 52¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$241 | win |
| Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | No | 64¢ | 73¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? | Yes | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | No | 57¢ | 15¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18? | Yes | 85¢ | 85¢ | $-267 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 45¢ | 60¢ | +$318 | win |
Finance 67% +$231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 16¢ | 30¢ | +$128 | win |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$188 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Panthers | Panthers | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Senators | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Canucks | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$26 | win |
Esports 0% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: The Otter Side vs Vantex Esports (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs | Vantex Esports | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: The Otter Side vs Vantex Esports (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs | The Otter Side | 53¢ | 50¢ | $-9 | loss |
Tech 50% $-277
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-329 | loss |
Elections 40% $-335
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 42¢ | +$52 | win |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 64¢ | 57¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 51% $-558
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 24¢ | $-344 | loss |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 97¢ | 92¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 22¢ | 22¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 36¢ | 36¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | $-363 | loss |
| SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks | SMU Mustangs | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$232 | win |
| SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks | Miami (OH) RedHawks | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
| Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers | UMBC Retrievers | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$964 | win |
| North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns | Texas Longhorns | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$695 | win |
Sports 40% $-4,626
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 76¢ | 78¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | $-256 | loss |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | +$256 | win |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 21¢ | 16¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 18¢ | 18¢ | +$63 | win |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 69¢ | 66¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$1 | win |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $254 | 18/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Sharks | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $57 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | $195 | 17/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 43.4¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | $347 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Stars | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $131 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 57.1¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | $474 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-338 | $443 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | +$420 | $183 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $746 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $755 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $42 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-363 | $1,110 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Wizards | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$246 | $225 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Knicks | 29.6¢ | 0¢ | +$17 | $39 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Hornets | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-42 | $98 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Heat | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | $-86 | $288 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-409 | $887 | 12/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-560 | $560 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-677 | $876 | 12/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Stars | Stars | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Stars | Wild | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $70 | 10/04/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$368 | $432 | 09/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Penguins | 54.1¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $61 | 09/04/2026 |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Sharks | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $-282 | $282 | 09/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Rangers | Sabres | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$337 | $485 | 08/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 08/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Mavericks | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | $144 | 08/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Pacers | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 07/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Nets | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | +$325 | $475 | 05/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $332 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $415 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Hornets | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-66 | $490 | 05/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Bulls | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-152 | $152 | 05/04/2026 |
| Predators vs. Sharks | Sharks | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-330 | $330 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | +$370 | $481 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | +$300 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 26.3¢ | 0¢ | +$291 | $239 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | $1,061 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $39 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | $-47 | $114 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | $-249 | $693 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 71.4¢ | 100¢ | $-266 | $1,911 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | $-296 | $696 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 66.6¢ | 100¢ | $-312 | $985 | 04/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Lakers | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $57 | 01/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Knicks | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $58 | 01/04/2026 |