tianshi2

Other 50% +$10 $9,937 vol · 109 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	43¢	45¢	$-0	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	63¢	34¢	$-10	loss
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	12¢	24¢	+$8	win
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	65¢	7¢	$-175	loss
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	91¢	100¢	+$13	win
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Mumbai Indians	55¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants	Royal Challengers Bangalore	75¢	100¢	+$31	win

Crypto 50% $-1 $2,734 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-2	loss
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	74¢	68¢	$-3	loss
Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	97¢	97¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	No	72¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 50% $-4 $235 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9¢	10¢	$-6	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	81¢	86¢	+$2	win

Tech 33% $-8 $833 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-7	loss

Economy 0% $-11 $260 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	40¢	92¢	$-7	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	99¢	$-4	loss

Politics 0% $-15 $3,558 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	96¢	96¢	$-3	loss
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27¢	27¢	$-6	loss

Culture 40% $-33 $1,289 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	56¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	99¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Esports 60% $-126 $4,090 vol · 64 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	XLG Gaming	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season	Barcząca Esports	86¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Cloud Rising	51¢	50¢	$-1	loss
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Spirit	82¢	100¢	+$22	win
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs	Team Lynx	66¢	100¢	+$11	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	83¢	100¢	+$44	win
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Liquid	90¢	100¢	+$25	win
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs	REKONIX	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	RED Canids	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Nemesis	42¢	0¢	$-32	loss

Sports 51% $-473 $11,233 vol · 109 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	96¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	91¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	42¢	44¢	$-1	loss
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	78¢	77¢	$-1	loss
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	96¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	96¢	95¢	$-0	loss
Magic vs. 76ers	76ers	72¢	100¢	+$15	win
Celtics vs. Knicks	Knicks	51¢	100¢	+$8	win
Rockets vs. Warriors	Warriors	37¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Lakers vs. Mavericks	Lakers	53¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Geopolitics 9% $-4,832 $7,707 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-38	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	52¢	0¢	$-54	loss
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	15¢	14¢	$-2	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	91¢	91¢	$-0	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	65¢	0¢	$-4,489	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	28¢	6¢	$-25	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$18	win
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-2	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	20¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-124	loss