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0x2bdCB235285E10C6C8F105aB1A72781daAB3e1DC-1772450172169
0x2bdcb235285e10c6c8f105ab1a72781daab3e1dc · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
44.4%
12 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$-1,546
realized $-2,368 · unrealized $822
Portfolio
$822
volume $59,487
Predictions
23
0.9/day · avg $2,586
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 44% +$133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 90¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 61¢ | 96¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 62¢ | 92¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 39¢ | 8¢ | $-89 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 68¢ | 95¢ | +$36 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 17¢ | 16¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 32¢ | 84¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
Elections 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | Yes | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 50% $-173
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | No | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$86 | win |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | 75¢ | 7¢ | $-261 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 71¢ | 64¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 0% $-456
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-456 | loss |
Politics 33% $-488
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-491 | loss |
Recent Trades (28)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 84¢ | +$62 | $600 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $1,339 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $605 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $738 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $852 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $831 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $-491 | $1,487 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-456 | $456 | 09/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 39.1¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $756 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 81¢ | $-1 | $27 | 22/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 17.1¢ | 16¢ | $-4 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77.0¢ | 76¢ | $-4 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $84 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 68.0¢ | 95¢ | +$36 | $600 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | $996 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 61.5¢ | 62¢ | +$3 | $200 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 70.8¢ | 64¢ | $-13 | $100 | 16/05/2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | Yes | 67.2¢ | 78¢ | +$15 | $100 | 25/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | No | 78.7¢ | 96¢ | +$86 | $600 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | 61.0¢ | 96¢ | +$33 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 62.0¢ | 92¢ | $-8 | $500 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 8¢ | $-89 | $495 | 30/06/2026 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | 75.3¢ | 7¢ | $-261 | $292 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 32¢ | +$2 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 87.0¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $90 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 90¢ | $-9 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |