Win rate
43.5%
20 W / 26 L
Total PnL
$817
realized $-55,568 · unrealized $56,385
Portfolio
$56,385
volume $631,548
Predictions
57
0.6/day · avg $11,080
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 33% +$27,145
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | +$27,860 | win |
| Will Meta (META) close above $630 on February 23? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | loss |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on February 19? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | loss |
Politics 100% +$15,125
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 20, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$15,125 | win |
Crypto 64% +$8,048
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 10? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 7? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1,040 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 16? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 14? | Down | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 12? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$5,200 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 12? | Yes | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$374 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 12? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
Other 0% $-164
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-670
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-6,110
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-1,680 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-4,430 | loss |
Weather 41% $-42,490
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$78 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on April 8? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 29? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (47)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 18? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$78 | $124 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56,182 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $56,207 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $55,944 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $55,832 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or higher on April 8? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $29 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 30? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 29? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $56 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 23? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $49 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 18? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17? | No | 43.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3,380 | $3,380 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 14? | No | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,995 | $1,505 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 10? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 9? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 8? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $72 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 7? | Yes | 1.0¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $89 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 4? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,680 | $1,680 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 2? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $1,920 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2? | No | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14,080 | $14,080 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1? | Yes | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,040 | $14,960 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-670 | $670 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? | No | 0.5¢ | 100¢ | +$27,860 | $140 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 24? | No | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $630 on February 23? | No | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | $550 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 22? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16,200 | $16,200 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 20, 2026? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15,125 | $12,375 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 21? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $585 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on February 19? | No | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $165 | 19/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 18? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-525 | $525 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 16? | Yes | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $526 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6,813 | $6,812 | 15/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14? | No | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,780 | $3,780 | 14/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 14? | Down | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | $135 | 14/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | $164 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,494 | $306 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 13? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $1,600 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 13? | Yes | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $56 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $-4,430 | $4,430 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 12? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,200 | $4,800 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$600 | $1,400 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 12? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 100¢ | +$374 | $76 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 12? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-180 | $180 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 12? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 12/02/2026 |