Win rate
46.7%
28 W / 32 L
Total PnL
$287
realized $-598 · unrealized $885
Portfolio
$885
volume $150,955
Predictions
73
1.5/day · avg $2,068
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 58% +$1,560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$507 | win |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$446 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 38¢ | 6¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 45¢ | +$233 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-32 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 64¢ | 89¢ | +$125 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 56¢ | 62¢ | +$160 | win |
Economy 0% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
Tech 0% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Sports 0% $-73
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
Politics 43% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 42¢ | 52¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-127 | loss |
Esports 45% $-233
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner | Gentle Mates | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage | NRG | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner | GIANTX | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
| Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Heretics | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | TYLOO | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Fnatic | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | BBL Esports | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Liquid | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
Other 43% $-682
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 63¢ | 60¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-319 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | No | 73.6¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $529 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 19.6¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $108 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 87.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $502 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation? | Yes | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $229 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $1,573 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Third term" in March? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $354 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 36.1¢ | 0¢ | +$89 | $209 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $213 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $147 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $105 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | Yes | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $143 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $4,210 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 60.2¢ | 50¢ | $-16 | $93 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | Yes | 79.9¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | $4,509 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $217 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $561 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March? | No | 40.2¢ | 100¢ | $-127 | $192 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | $4,083 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | No | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $-319 | $1,002 | 31/03/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Gentle Mates | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $133 | 09/03/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner | Gentle Mates | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $89 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | No | 22.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $68 | 07/03/2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $91 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $36 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | No | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $33 | 07/03/2026 |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage | NRG | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $53 | 01/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $201 | 01/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28? | No | 79.4¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $34 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $32 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | $58 | 22/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $61 | 14/02/2026 |
| Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner | GIANTX | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | NRG | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $51 | 31/01/2026 |
| Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 31/01/2026 |
| Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Heretics | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 31/01/2026 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs | TYLOO | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $239 | 30/01/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Fnatic | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $231 | 30/01/2026 |
| Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | BBL Esports | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $124 | 30/01/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Liquid | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $58 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $40 | 31/12/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $22 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $50 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 70¢ | $-11 | $431 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 89¢ | +$125 | $320 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 56.5¢ | 62¢ | +$160 | $1,244 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 62.9¢ | 60¢ | $-8 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 45¢ | +$233 | $126 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 48.3¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $55 | 30/04/2026 |