Awamori

Geopolitics 76% +$4,294 $28,016 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	79¢	84¢	+$26	win
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	45¢	74¢	+$792	win
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	Yes	41¢	28¢	+$33	win
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	65¢	83¢	+$17	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	65¢	84¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	79¢	84¢	$-13	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	66¢	30¢	$-82	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	54¢	70¢	+$566	win
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	48¢	46¢	$-225	loss
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	73¢	92¢	+$68	win

Crypto 50% +$1,272 $38,928 vol · 454 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	69¢	64¢	$-20	loss
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	47¢	70¢	+$2	win
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?	No	82¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	86¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	82¢	84¢	$-3	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	46¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	75¢	62¢	$-33	loss
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	82¢	51¢	$-116	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	84¢	98¢	+$15	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	49¢	100¢	+$36	win

Other 59% +$667 $22,190 vol · 162 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	30¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	26¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-181	loss
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	92¢	81¢	$-1	loss
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$10	win
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	83¢	92¢	+$4	win
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	81¢	90¢	$-2	loss
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	74¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0046 by December 31, 2026?	No	46¢	72¢	+$2	win
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-92	loss

Culture 69% +$144 $4,697 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?	No	83¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	62¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-82	loss

Politics 40% +$109 $2,351 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	65¢	84¢	+$28	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	81¢	85¢	$-4	loss
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	79¢	82¢	$-15	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	82¢	96¢	+$6	win
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?	Yes	52¢	0¢	+$3	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$25	win
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	No	88¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Elections 86% +$26 $281 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$3	win
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?	Yes	63¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	57¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$17	win

Sports 0% $-2 $28 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?	No	56¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Finance 50% $-74 $239 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	56¢	100¢	+$7	win
Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	65¢	0¢	$-80	loss

Tech 71% $-81 $366 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Dharmendra be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	43¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	65¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-109	loss

Esports 52% $-2,912 $39,469 vol · 447 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	67¢	64¢	$-4	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	57¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	52¢	100¢	+$111	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	59¢	0¢	$-179	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	80¢	100¢	+$8	win
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	HOTU	42¢	100¢	+$40	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	40¢	0¢	+$0	win
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Aurora Gaming	47¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	54¢	100¢	+$55	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	G2	23¢	0¢	$-21	loss