Win rate
63.4%
361 W / 208 L
Total PnL
$-50,531
realized $-71,849 · unrealized $21,318
Portfolio
$21,318
volume $23,790,770
Predictions
500
3.3/day · avg $47,582
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$25,791
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Chris Duncan | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-6,196 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$31,987 | win |
Other 68% +$5,492
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$4,202 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$1,599 | win |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$1,848 | win |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1,804 | win |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-8,556 | loss |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Schultz vs. Mingaj | Schultz | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$684 | win |
| Nufttillaev vs. Leka | Leka | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$556 | win |
Tech 100% +$298
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 76¢ | +$83 | win |
Politics 75% +$266
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | $-629 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$763 | win |
Elections 100% +$68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 52% $-18,227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$5,175 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | Down | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$2,527 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-706 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$226 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-4,643 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-1,200 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-1,459 | loss |
Sports 64% $-56,365
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | +$336 | win |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$379 | win |
| Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-5,469 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$3,851 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) | John Yannis | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$169 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | JJ Aldrich | 42¢ | 94¢ | +$10,718 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Mark Vologdin | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$1,193 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims) | Dennis Buzukja | 18¢ | 22¢ | +$63 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $2,500 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,920 | $4,240 | 15/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5 | Under | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,920 | $3,920 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Heat | 31.5¢ | 0¢ | +$3,055 | $6,257 | 14/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$420 | $13,571 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,374 | $12,749 | 13/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14,845 | $17,830 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Dominick Reyes | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6,235 | $21,289 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | MarQuel Mederos | 28.4¢ | 50¢ | +$5,042 | $6,612 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,800 | $5,199 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Vicente Luque | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,654 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Curtis Blaydes | 76.7¢ | 0¢ | $-7,047 | $14,720 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jirí Procházka | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14,000 | $14,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Loopy Godínez | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $-7,461 | $7,507 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) | Nate Landwehr | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $-5,430 | $5,429 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Kelvin Gastelum | 77.0¢ | 0¢ | $-750 | $750 | 12/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Mavericks | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-935 | $935 | 09/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,300 | $1,300 | 09/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Hawks | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,400 | $3,399 | 08/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 42.3¢ | 0¢ | $-11,378 | $11,377 | 06/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Warriors | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $-5,943 | $5,984 | 06/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | Tommy McMillen | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,490 | $8,499 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Azamat Bekoev (Middleweight, Prelims) | Azamat Bekoev | 74.9¢ | 0¢ | $-12,240 | $12,240 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims) | Dakota Hope | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7,204 | $7,215 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims) | Robert Ruchala | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3,706 | $3,714 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Chris Duncan | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $-6,196 | $6,219 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | Hailey Cowan | 45.6¢ | 0¢ | $-3,136 | $3,144 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Spurs | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22,984 | $23,001 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8,607 | $35,329 | 03/04/2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Timberwolves | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $1,685 | 02/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Hawks | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11,009 | $15,969 | 01/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 45.3¢ | 0¢ | $-12,760 | $13,600 | 01/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Knicks | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $-5,947 | $5,979 | 01/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | Warriors | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6,399 | $6,397 | 30/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 45.4¢ | 100¢ | +$31,987 | $68,174 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Alexa Grasso | 40.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5,977 | $4,012 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims) | Tyrell Fortune | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4,416 | $17,525 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card) | Lance Gibson Jr. | 36.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3,503 | $1,983 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims) | Yousri Belgaroui | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,594 | $5,697 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | Tofiq Musayev | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$202 | $4,379 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | Alexia Thainara | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,504 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Adrian Yanez | 66.3¢ | 50¢ | $-6,388 | $48,984 | 29/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Knicks | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $-9,899 | $9,896 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | Gabriella Fernandes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13,006 | $13,006 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Bruno Lopes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3,304 | $3,302 | 29/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | Ignacio Bahamondes | 75.3¢ | 0¢ | $-12,325 | $15,072 | 29/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Raptors | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $-18,661 | $19,236 | 26/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Celtics | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5,099 | $4,900 | 25/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Nuggets | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$746 | $18,198 | 25/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Suns | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-236 | $372 | 25/03/2026 |