Win rate
84.6%
11 W / 2 L
Total PnL
$752
realized $-5,562 · unrealized $6,313
Portfolio
$6,313
volume $20,950
Predictions
19
0.4/day · avg $1,103
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$383
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$209 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
Crypto 100% +$238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
Geopolitics 67% +$78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Tech 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Sports 50% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 66¢ | 78¢ | +$534 | win |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 59¢ | 42¢ | $-506 | loss |
Politics 100% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Recent Trades (13)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 99¢ | +$209 | $1,200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 74.2¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$156 | $1,000 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $2,000 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $300 | 28/02/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $3,400 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $1,000 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 66.4¢ | 78¢ | +$534 | $3,048 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 58.8¢ | 42¢ | $-506 | $1,821 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $300 | 31/12/2026 |