Win rate
76.0%
4659 W / 1472 L
Total PnL
$50,620
realized $29,145 · unrealized $21,475
Portfolio
$21,475
volume $27,731,820
Predictions
6,246
24.5/day · avg $4,440
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 82% +$22,621
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senators vs. Devils | Devils | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Panthers | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Wild vs. Senators | Wild | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1,200 | win |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Panthers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Senators vs. Panthers | Senators | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Senators vs. Lightning | Lightning | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Penguins vs. Senators | Penguins | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Sharks vs. Senators | Senators | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Sports 70% +$20,464
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$516 | win |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | New York Mets | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 15¢ | 5¢ | $-99 | loss |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals | San Francisco Giants | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-4 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$4,634 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
Politics 91% +$15,418
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fisk Bulldogs vs. Austin Peay Governors | Austin Peay Governors | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Harris-Stowe Hornets vs. Lindenwood Lions | Lindenwood Lions | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trump x Putin talk before July? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 79% +$2,891
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears | Morgan State Bears | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators | Florida Gators | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars | Southern Jaguars | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$366 | win |
| Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs | Ole Miss Rebels | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Coppin State Eagles | North Carolina Central Eagles | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Wake Forest | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2,631 | win |
Weather 93% +$1,646
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1,854 | win |
| UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-1,037 | loss |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$264 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Missouri Tigers | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Temple Owls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | win |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles | St. Johns Red Storm | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Culture 67% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-193 | loss |
Crypto 91% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Prairie View A&M Panthers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Grambling State Tigers | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigers | Jackson State Tigers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Defiance Yellow Jackets vs. Western Michigan Broncos | Western Michigan Broncos | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Elizabeth City State Vikings vs. East Carolina Pirates | East Carolina Pirates | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Grambling State vs. Bethune-Cookman | Bethune-Cookman | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Jackson State vs. Bethune-Cookman | Jackson State | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Tech 88% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| RedNote removed from App Store by Friday? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Elections 80% $-3,981
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-4,147 | loss |
| Netherlands election called before May? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | win |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 86% $-13,497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$1,150 | win |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Minnesota Twins | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $2,064 | 18/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $12,975 | 18/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $4,787 | 18/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $5,499 | 18/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $44,621 | 18/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $3,300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $31,016 | 18/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $2,990 | 18/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Cleveland Guardians | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $715 | 18/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,027 | 18/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $8,130 | 18/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Mets | Athletics | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $10,779 | 18/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Boston Red Sox | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $223 | 18/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Boston Red Sox | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-882 | $882 | 18/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $4,400 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $3,297 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $20,079 | 17/04/2026 |
| New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $2,170 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $10,385 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Flames | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $909 | 17/04/2026 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,010 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $486 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Los Angeles Angels | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $596 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Washington Nationals | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $188 | 17/04/2026 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | San Francisco Giants | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Miami Marlins | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | Athletics | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $4,238 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,221 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,280 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$250 | $25,360 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $2,988 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Stars | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $3,237 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $3,956 | 15/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $3,941 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $3,192 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $33,868 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $31,076 | 15/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $3,154 | 15/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Avalanche | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $3,077 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $19,095 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $6,768 | 15/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | Arizona Diamondbacks | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $6,368 | 15/04/2026 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $9,984 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $996 | 15/04/2026 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals | St. Louis Cardinals | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $990 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $3,959 | 15/04/2026 |