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Geopolitics 79% +$20 $1,134 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	37¢	0¢	+$1	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	92¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	97¢	96¢	$-0	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 73% +$18 $476 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	Yes	34¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 96% +$16 $2,782 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on April 19?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	95¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 100% +$5 $412 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hawks vs. Heat	Heat	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bulls vs. Wizards	Bulls	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will High Point advance to the Final Four?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
76ers vs. Wizards	76ers	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Kevin Vallejos	81¢	100¢	+$5	win
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	Lakers	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Suns vs. Bucks	Suns	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Knicks vs. Nuggets	Knicks	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 86% +$3 $363 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	61¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
California Baptist Lancers vs. UCLA Bruins (W)	UCLA Bruins	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators	Florida Gators	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 100% +$1 $224 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 67% +$0 $163 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 100% +$0 $50 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 100% +$0 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 38% $-10 $275 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	66¢	34¢	$-0	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	23¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	99¢	99¢	$-3	loss
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	No	85¢	95¢	$-1	loss