Win rate
55.0%
11 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$81,554
realized $74,154 · unrealized $7,400
Portfolio
$7,400
volume $419,158
Predictions
20
0.9/day · avg $20,958
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 56% +$81,859
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 61¢ | $-244 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$8,575 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,061 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 84¢ | $-556 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 6¢ | $-500 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-258 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-1,793 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | loss |
Other 50% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | loss |
Politics 50% $-660
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 32¢ | 60¢ | $-846 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$186 | win |
Recent Trades (21)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $-258 | $1,098 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,793 | $1,793 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 100¢ | +$68,687 | $2,648 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | $1,137 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3,570 | $3,650 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 55.4¢ | 6¢ | $-500 | $1,940 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 86.6¢ | 84¢ | $-556 | $5,107 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 40¢ | +$813 | $2,179 | 22/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 40¢ | +$78 | $460 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 19.4¢ | 23¢ | +$186 | $1,103 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 78¢ | +$341 | $7,375 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8,575 | $12,035 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 60.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,352 | $3,630 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,061 | $14,398 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 6¢ | +$42 | $192 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 92¢ | $-19 | $898 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 6¢ | $-21 | $178 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 33.6¢ | 61¢ | $-244 | $3,360 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 60¢ | $-846 | $2,912 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 72¢ | +$55 | $305 | 31/05/2026 |