Win rate
57.1%
20 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$1,140
realized $-3,668 · unrealized $4,808
Portfolio
$4,808
volume $18,787
Predictions
115
0.4/day · avg $163
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/10/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 43% +$936
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 52¢ | 18¢ | +$0 | — |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
Elections 75% +$553
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$544 | win |
Tech 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Economy 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 67% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 67% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 33% $-212
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 88¢ | 60¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | No | 88¢ | 50¢ | $-176 | loss |
Recent Trades (36)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $116 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 71.9¢ | 99¢ | +$1,265 | $3,403 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 60¢ | +$2 | $30 | 01/02/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 31/01/2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | No | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $42 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | No | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $20 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | Yes | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $30 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $41 | 30/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 01/12/2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | No | 28.6¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $33 | 26/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | 35.4¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 15/11/2025 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%? | Yes | 78.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $27 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $58 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election? | Yes | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $27 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $92 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $50 | 31/10/2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $45 | 31/10/2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 31/10/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 29/10/2025 |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? | No | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 24/10/2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $222 | 01/10/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 59.5¢ | 100¢ | +$544 | $812 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | No | 88.0¢ | 50¢ | $-176 | $500 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? | No | 24.8¢ | 22¢ | $-8 | $75 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 67.0¢ | 66¢ | $-1 | $75 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 21.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $51 | 01/01/2027 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 18¢ | +$0 | $27 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 80.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $45 | 01/01/2027 |
| EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $32 | 01/01/2027 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 55.7¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $62 | 01/01/2027 |