Win rate
95.2%
2514 W / 127 L
Total PnL
$-2,051
realized $-2,880 · unrealized $830
Portfolio
$830
volume $596,400
Predictions
4,418
50.5/day · avg $135
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 29/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 76% +$987
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13) | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hegseth's remarks not air? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Hegseth say "God is Good" during press conference? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Coin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Ethereum above 2,035 on March 30, 8AM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Melania say "UN" or "United Nations" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Melania say "Initiative" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 9-15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 11? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 99% +$280
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Dual FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.20% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Union Berlin qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Nantes qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will AAVE V4 go live on mainnet by June 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Melania say "Movie" during statement on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Netflix" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Even | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Brasilia: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Elmer Moeller | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagal vs. Bondioli: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Main Street Sports Sale/Merger by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Uchijima vs. Bondar: Match O/U 22.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Coppin State Eagles (W) | Coppin State Eagles | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 92% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next video? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of March 30 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Yokohama FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 4.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 62% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump post "Poll" or "Polling" this week on Truth Social? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 Virginia governor election at 9:00 PM ET or later on Nov 4 2025? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Esports 99% $-334
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 2: Any Player Rampage? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Game 2: Ends in Daytime? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2? | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 Winner | Cheeki_Breeki | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Gentle Mates - Game 5 Winner | Gentle Mates | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 94% $-428
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 2, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 99% $-560
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Virginia in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House press briefing? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "Nevada" or "Arizona" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump name "Kamala" in April? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 98% $-912
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rio Ave win Primeira Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Miami Heat advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 19.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 14.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Scotland - Who wins the toss? | Scotland | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Scotland - Team Top Batter Draw | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Golden State Warriors finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Pistons vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 118.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTT - Men's Singles: Hiroto Shinozuka vs Ruibo Wen | Wen | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $444 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 18/04/2026 |
| T20 Brisbane Champions League: Brisbane Napoleons vs Melbourne Tuskers - Who wins the toss? | Melbourne Tuskers | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 18/04/2026 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Kagoshima United FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $210 | 18/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs Zverev | Zverev | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $514 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $404 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $303 | 17/04/2026 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $266 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $208 | 17/04/2026 |
| FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Zorya Luhansk: O/U 4.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| T20 Brisbane Champions League: Perth United Warriors vs Melbourne Pirates | Melbourne Pirates | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Pliskova | Vekic | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $84 | 17/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of April 13 2026? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Miu Hirano vs Manika Batra | Hirano | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $995 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $81 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Even | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Even | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? | Even | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi - Who wins the toss? | Karachi Kings | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $215 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $215 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 10+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Deficit" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $172 | 16/04/2026 |
| KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscow | Avangard Omsk | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $118 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $116 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $116 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | SC Corinthians Paulista | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 16/04/2026 |
| Schwaerzler vs. Safiullin: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $84 | 16/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Great Big Beautiful Bill" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 16/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2? | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 16/04/2026 |
| Game 2: Any Player Rampage? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 97¢ | $-11 | $511 | 16/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $194 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $881 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $394 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $728 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $218 | 15/04/2026 |
| Travaglia vs. Brancaccio: Match O/U 23.5 | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $600 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 3.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 15/04/2026 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants | Lotte Giants | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $364 | 15/04/2026 |