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0x2a305CDfb3Ae0D159b1eD0Cc2C301b2A2E3A0061-1767753260991
0x2a305cdfb3ae0d159b1ed0cc2c301b2a2e3a0061 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
21.7%
20 W / 72 L
Total PnL
$-1,765
realized $-2,777 · unrealized $1,012
Portfolio
$1,012
volume $213,479
Predictions
110
2.3/day · avg $1,941
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 60% +$142
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
Crypto 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 75% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 25% $-391
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11? | No | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
Sports 10% $-1,510
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Devils | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1,488 | loss |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Canadiens vs. Ducks | Ducks | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Nets vs. Heat | Heat | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,007 | 13/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Devils | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,488 | $1,488 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 01/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $980 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $134 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $498 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,476 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $807 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,055 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Clippers | Clippers | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $139 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $105 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $73 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11? | No | 64.9¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $58 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? | No | 40.9¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $59 | 10/03/2026 |
| Hersonissos: Maximus Jones vs Tom Gentzsch | Maximus Jones | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | $150 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 08/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Ducks | Ducks | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $96 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $91 | 07/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Heat | Heat | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $57 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $79 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.7¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 06/02/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Clippers | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $188 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $531 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $731 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 28/01/2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $439 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | No | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $106 | 17/01/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $30 | 17/01/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $128 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,262 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $952 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,122 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,170 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,196 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,245 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $716 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $801 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,688 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,251 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $825 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,662 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,172 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,012 | 20/07/2026 |