animal.bean

Other 35% +$856 $58,942 vol · 719 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-1	loss
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	No	94¢	96¢	$-14	loss
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	80¢	92¢	$-5	loss
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?	No	50¢	98¢	+$0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?	No	99¢	97¢	$-11	loss
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	No	97¢	95¢	$-10	loss
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	99¢	$-14	loss
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	50¢	40¢	$-2	loss

Economy 28% +$564 $2,582 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-4	loss
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	12¢	1¢	$-90	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	99¢	$-49	loss
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	17¢	96¢	+$119	win
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	No	50¢	79¢	+$0	—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-30	loss

Politics 33% +$7 $934 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$32	win
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.5 on April 10, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-61	loss
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-79	loss

Finance 12% $-95 $632 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?	No	97¢	97¢	$-5	loss
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?	No	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at <6600 on April 8?	No	100¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	94¢	$-16	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	7¢	22¢	+$51	win

Crypto 12% $-102 $659 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 17?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 17?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$124	win
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2 and 2.25 million views in the first week?	No	100¢	100¢	$-46	loss

Tech 10% $-167 $738 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	100¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	No	50¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$82	win
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-04-12?	No	68¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	No	50¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Culture 0% $-200 $730 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	50¢	84¢	+$0	—
Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?	No	97¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	No	72¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $11m?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	No	99¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Geopolitics 0% $-408 $1,326 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-177	loss
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	50¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	50¢	90¢	+$0	—
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-121	loss
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	22¢	10¢	$-19	loss
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?	No	97¢	98¢	$-24	loss
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-39	loss

Sports 8% $-3,382 $11,855 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	2¢	5¢	+$304	win
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-207	loss
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	99¢	99¢	$-8	loss
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-436	loss
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Elections 20% $-5,398 $23,645 vol · 92 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	50¢	96¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	100¢	99¢	$-12	loss
Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	85¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?	Yes	21¢	15¢	$-11	loss
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	50¢	72¢	$-2	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	1¢	10¢	+$1,668	win
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	50¢	100¢	+$-0	loss
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	50¢	10¢	$-0	loss
Will BSP – United Left win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Weather 22% $-6,588 $54,674 vol · 675 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	93¢	90¢	$-8	loss
Will Hurricanes win?	Yes	25¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 16?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$66	win
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 16?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 16?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-117	loss
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 16?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-59	loss
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on April 16?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 16?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 16?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$15	win

Mentions 11% $-8,440 $25,289 vol · 93 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	50¢	80¢	+$0	—
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	6¢	5¢	+$61	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-4,376	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-46	loss