Win rate
46.7%
14 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-418
realized $-949 · unrealized $532
Portfolio
$532
volume $53,461
Predictions
28
0.4/day · avg $1,909
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 33% +$115
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
Sports 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Geopolitics 60% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 30¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Esports 67% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffs | NIP | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | Vitality | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Culture 25% $-68
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
Tech 67% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 3¢ | $-158 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 1? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Other 38% $-173
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 79¢ | 60¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | loss |
| Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | EDward Gaming | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Recent Trades (30)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 28¢ | $-2 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $95 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 28.3¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | $100 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29) | Yes | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | $88 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-177 | $177 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 34.7¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $62 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $45 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $46 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $48 | 08/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffs | NIP | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $69 | 08/02/2026 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | JD Gaming | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 05/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | Vitality | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $55 | 04/02/2026 |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | EDward Gaming | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $40 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2? | No | 69.3¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 02/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 1? | No | 51.3¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $60 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $49 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | Yes | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $50 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 3¢ | $-158 | $263 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 22¢ | $-2 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | $-6 | $100 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 60¢ | +$10 | $91 | 27/05/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 30¢ | $-69 | $210 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $58 | 31/12/2026 |