Win rate
77.9%
67 W / 19 L
Total PnL
$-25
realized $-943 · unrealized $919
Portfolio
$919
volume $19,748
Predictions
134
4.9/day · avg $147
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Culture 90% +$92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 52¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? | No | 53¢ | 74¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m? | No | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Mentions 86% +$52
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 71% $-242
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | No | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings | Chennai Super Kings | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Punjab Kings | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $38 | 18/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals | Chennai Super Kings | 82.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $50 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $41 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $77 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $117 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 78.1¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Rajasthan Royals | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $22 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $78 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 96.2¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $174 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 67.1¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $38 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 53.5¢ | 50¢ | $-7 | $110 | 13/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $447 | 12/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants | Lucknow Super Giants | 69.6¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $66 | 12/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | Rajasthan Royals | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $33 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$136 | $390 | 10/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings | Punjab Kings | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $145 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $206 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $222 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6? | No | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-224 | $393 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $766 | 09/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $233 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $34 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-229 | $330 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 74.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $23 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $124 | 08/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals | Delhi Capitals | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4? | No | 86.0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | $129 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3? | No | 80.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $56 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $125 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | No | 81.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $146 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 47 million views on day 2? | No | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $163 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m? | No | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $31 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $185 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $12m and $13m? | No | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $140 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | Yes | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $142 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2? | Yes | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $76 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 68.4¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $68 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $54 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $48 | 03/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $71 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $39 | 20/04/2026 |