ImSweating

Tech 64% +$1,437 $7,176 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	63¢	76¢	$-1	loss
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	No	78¢	92¢	+$8	win
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	45¢	39¢	$-0	loss
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Yes	29¢	31¢	+$46	win
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?	No	70¢	70¢	+$17	win
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	64¢	70¢	+$4	win
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	No	83¢	95¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$19	win
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	83¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	29¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Finance 91% +$493 $2,487 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	71¢	64¢	$-2	loss
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	28¢	5¢	$-7	loss
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	81¢	90¢	+$3	win
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Coca-Cola say "Protein" during earnings call?	No	76¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will S&P Global say "ESG" or "Sustainable" during earnings call?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Roblox say "Roblox Cube" during earnings call?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Microchip Technology say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will PayPal say "Unprofitable" during earnings call?	No	78¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will PayPal say "Perplexity" during earnings call?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$11	win

Other 64% +$325 $6,848 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	74¢	60¢	$-4	loss
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	77¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	67¢	79¢	+$33	win
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	24¢	16¢	$-10	loss
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	30¢	28¢	+$3	win
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	85¢	88¢	+$2	win
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?	Yes	67¢	18¢	$-19	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	58¢	52¢	$-28	loss
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	10¢	5¢	$-70	loss
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$47	win

Crypto 73% +$71 $1,109 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	$-2	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	23¢	50¢	$-8	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	69¢	60¢	$-3	loss
Will "Pete" or "Hegseth" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	61¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?	No	84¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	No	75¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Robinhood say "Blockchain" during earnings call?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?	No	91¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 83% +$56 $281 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "UFC" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)	No	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?	Yes	24¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will "Sporting Event" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-70	loss

Geopolitics 40% +$28 $162 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026?	No	81¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by April 30?	No	58¢	93¢	$-13	loss
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	57¢	44¢	$-2	loss
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	19¢	100¢	+$41	win
US military action against Iran before July?	No	52¢	0¢	+$4	win

Culture 100% +$20 $48 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	69¢	82¢	+$0	—
Will MrBeast say "Movie" or "Film" during his next video?	No	51¢	100¢	+$20	win

Economy 50% +$1 $133 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Recession" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	64¢	100¢	$-1	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 43% $-78 $373 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	80¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	71¢	4¢	$-28	loss
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Green Left win 25-29 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	66¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Schimel	14¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$43	win

Politics 47% $-190 $868 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	No	82¢	94¢	+$9	win
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	49¢	52¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by April 30, 2026?	Yes	85¢	82¢	+$1	win
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times at the rally on Saturday?	No	87¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Leavitt say "Fake news" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	84¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	87¢	0¢	$-46	loss
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	85¢	100¢	$-78	loss
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on November 18?	No	59¢	100¢	+$15	win
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$11	win