Win rate
8.2%
18 W / 202 L
Total PnL
$-22,617
realized $-25,408 · unrealized $2,790
Portfolio
$2,790
volume $1,986,202
Predictions
457
10.8/day · avg $4,346
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-5 | loss |
Sports 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-27 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-156
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
Other 0% $-346
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 33¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 2¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | loss |
Geopolitics 16% $-7,769
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 28¢ | 24¢ | +$5 | win |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 24¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 14¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 14¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 60¢ | 16¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 12¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 4¢ | $-137 | loss |
Crypto 6% $-14,709
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 18¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $-147 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 11? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 13? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $39 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $101 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 11? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $38 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $105 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $46 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $42 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? | Yes | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $94 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? | Yes | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $355 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | +$786 | $184 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $71 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $232 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-776 | $826 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $143 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7? | Yes | 16.5¢ | 0¢ | $-549 | $652 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $109 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $378 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 2? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $30 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $43 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | Yes | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $32 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $24 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $38 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | $273 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-438 | $441 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-969 | $923 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $113 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-261 | $275 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | $78 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-289 | $322 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $45 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $187 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 1? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? | Yes | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $114 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | +$135 | $1,062 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 13.1¢ | 0¢ | +$126 | $320 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 18.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 14.3¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $67 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $112 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-270 | $280 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-3,043 | $904 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-123 | $123 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $114 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-884 | $653 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 31? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |