Win rate
43.8%
7 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$1,744
realized $643 · unrealized $1,101
Portfolio
$1,101
volume $53,539
Predictions
31
0.8/day · avg $1,727
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 50% +$1,959
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$2,172 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
Politics 80% +$671
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$492 | win |
Elections 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 52¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
Sports 0% $-844
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-812 | loss |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | No | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $-812 | $818 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | $596 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $347 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | No | 69.0¢ | 70¢ | +$3 | $155 | 23/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | No | 58.7¢ | 92¢ | +$174 | $312 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $99 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 76.9¢ | 77¢ | +$0 | $72 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | No | 48.0¢ | 50¢ | +$1 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 23.4¢ | 23¢ | +$2,172 | $2,694 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | No | 50.8¢ | 100¢ | +$492 | $508 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 40.0¢ | 55¢ | +$12 | $32 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 66.3¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $194 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | No | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 30/06/2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 52.0¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | $26 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 16.3¢ | 16¢ | $-4 | $49 | 03/11/2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 83.5¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $167 | 31/12/2026 |