Win rate
54.5%
60 W / 50 L
Total PnL
$-1,060
realized $-3,174 · unrealized $2,114
Portfolio
$2,114
volume $114,280
Predictions
199
4.5/day · avg $574
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$36
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 67% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 16¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 27¢ | 43¢ | +$33 | win |
Other 70% $-53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 82¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 32¢ | 56¢ | +$4 | win |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | loss |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5 | Under | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Crypto 50% $-449
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 82¢ | 64¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 50¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $-139 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 49% $-693
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 57¢ | 82¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 15¢ | 18¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 47¢ | 22¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 16¢ | 6¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | No | 45¢ | 74¢ | +$23 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 73.0¢ | 13¢ | +$15 | $149 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 46.9¢ | 13¢ | $-2 | $42 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $24 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $169 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by March 31? | No | 65.3¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $144 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $2,401 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 59.7¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $161 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $283 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $96 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | No | 66.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $169 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 50.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $76 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | No | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? | No | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $385 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | No | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 8¢ | $-18 | $84 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28? | Yes | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15? | No | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | Yes | 22.4¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $61 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 11.7¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31? | No | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? | No | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $105 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 82.6¢ | 0¢ | $-287 | $489 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 50¢ | $-15 | $101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? | No | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $37 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $49 | 18/03/2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5 | Under | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 18/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $23 | 11/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 11/03/2026 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 | Under | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $26 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 46.5¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $80 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $286 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28? | Yes | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $143 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $177 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28? | Yes | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $64 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $50 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28? | Yes | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $59 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28? | No | 82.9¢ | 0¢ | $-199 | $207 | 28/02/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5 | Over | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $3,159 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $1,373 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$140 | $9,506 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $3,121 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $4,122 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $2,616 | 31/12/2025 |