Win rate
94.6%
1391 W / 79 L
Total PnL
$7,318
realized $5,765 · unrealized $1,553
Portfolio
$1,553
volume $1,018,120
Predictions
1,973
11.4/day · avg $516
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 95% +$5,279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 18? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on April 18? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 18? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 80% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Tech 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran strike on Israel in June? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on July 10 at 5PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 62% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it Snow in Dallas this December? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Record low border encounters in June? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Witkoff in Qatar by Friday? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Yoon arrested by July 15? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| US-EU trade agreement by July 9? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Yoon in jail before July? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 18? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $392 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $317 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 18? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $188 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 18? | No | 55.6¢ | 50¢ | $-9 | $86 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $137 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 18? | Yes | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $114 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on April 18? | Yes | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 18? | No | 79.9¢ | 95¢ | +$13 | $72 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 18? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $28 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 17? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $390 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $145 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $109 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $67 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $736 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $434 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 15? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 15? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 15? | Yes | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $93 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $84 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $111 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 15? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $68 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 15? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $996 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,071 | $1,072 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 14? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $791 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on April 14? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $210 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $481 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 14? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $261 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 14? | Yes | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 14? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $2,096 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 13? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $709 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 13? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $790 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 13? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $99 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,183 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,001 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $1,106 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $996 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or higher on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $996 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $445 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $148 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 12? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $597 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $518 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $498 | 12/04/2026 |