Win rate
70.6%
368 W / 153 L
Total PnL
$6,182
realized $4,700 · unrealized $1,482
Portfolio
$1,482
volume $2,088,618
Predictions
524
6.8/day · avg $3,986
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 71% +$5,552
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Crypto 72% +$54
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 25? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Politics 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Other 33% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 46¢ | 62¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 47% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 68¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Jordan again in March? | No | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Esports 80% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | TYLOO | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | PARIVISION | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | Spirit | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $4,673 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $1,670 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $557 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 98¢ | +$5 | $201 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 75.2¢ | 74¢ | $-3 | $281 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $4,444 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $735 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $275 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,353 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $90 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $136 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $94 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 11.1¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | $169 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $7,364 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $2,474 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $147 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $396 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $837 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,755 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $32 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $462 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $3,066 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $1,356 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $941 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,249 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,518 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $621 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $499 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $246 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $3,099 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $616 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | $1,074 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,931 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $1,946 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $362 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,998 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 75.2¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $286 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |